Final MPG poll of Massachusetts voters find Harris, Warren maintaining commanding leads
Economy, abortion, immigration top issues on voters’ minds; Massachusetts voters hold negative views of Elon Musk; Charlie Baker edges Ed Markey in a hypothetical 2026 Senate match-up.
The MassINC Polling Group released its final poll today of Massachusetts voters before the general election. Here are some of the key findings:
Vice President Kamala Harris leads former President Donald Trump 61% to 31%.
Senator Elizabeth Warren leads her Republican challenger John Deaton 55% to 33%.
A majority (79%), including of Republicans, think that the Presidential votes will be counted fairly and accurately. But a majority (63%) also think it at least somewhat likely there will be “major violence” related to the election.
In a hypothetical 2026 Senate matchup, former Governor Charlie Baker leads incumbent Ed Markey 40% to 34%. Baker enjoys strong favorables nearly two years after his time in the corner office.
About the Poll
These results are based on a survey of 582 likely voters in the 2024 General Election in Massachusetts. Responses were collected October 29 – November 1, 2024, via an online survey. Respondents were collected via online panel and text message invitations
Results were weighted to known and estimated parameters for likely voters by age, gender, race, party, education, and region within Massachusetts. Demographic targets were based on analysis of American Community Survey and state voter registration data. Political party was estimated using state voter registration data, benchmark surveys, and turnout from prior elections. The credibility interval for the entire sample is +/- 4.9 percentage points with a 95 percent level of confidence, including the design effect. All surveys are potentially subject to non-sampling error.