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Polling matters now more than ever

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(via Creative Commons/Flikr by Gage Skidmore)

Polling is a form of political resistance.

This is the argument Steve Koczela makes in the wake of Trump calling negative polling “fake news” – a mild insult, Koczela says, compared to what other power players have thrown at him. Acknowledging the need of pollsters to rebuild their credibility following failures in a few key states during the election, Koczela emphasizes the power of polling to collect the public voice and push back against the political trend of voter disenfranchisement.

Read the whole article on Commonwealth Magazine here.

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How Many Marched?

The massive Women’s March protests on Saturday swept through cities across the country, and professors from the University of Connecticut and University of Denver are trying to get a head count – the best estimate currently ranges from 3.3 to 4.6 million.

Rich Parr, Research Director here at MPG, turned the data into a map showing the relative size and locations of the protests.

Check out the interactive version here.

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WBUR Poll: Republican Gov. Baker More Popular Than Democrat Sen. Warren

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It’s one thing to be liked; it’s quite another to have people vote for you.

Elizabeth Warren may be facing this dilemma in her run for re-election in 2018. According to a new statewide WBUR pol, 51 percent of Massachusetts voters view her favorably – but only 44 percent think she deserves to keep her seat. (Topline, Crosstabs)

Charlie Baker, a republican governor in a blue state, does not have this issue. With a favorability rating of 59 percent, only 29 percent of respondents think it’s someone else’s turn.

Read more at WBUR

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WBUR Poll: As Trump Takes Office, Most Mass. Voters Are Even Less Confident In Him

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Voters care about tax returns.

A new WBUR statewide poll shows that 75 percent of Massachusetts voters want President Trump to release his tax returns. This is among findings that show low favorability and confidence in the new president; only 28 percent of Mass. voters view President Trump favorably, and 59 percent are less confident in him based on his actions since the election. (Topline, Crosstabs)

Read more at WBUR

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Analysis: Jackson Shakes Up the Map

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The upcoming mayoral race will be one to watch, thanks to a declaration by City Councilor Tito Jackson.

Mayor Marty Walsh won in 2013 due in large part to votes from Boston’s communities of color. Those communities may now rally behind Tito Jackson, who represents a district with the second-highest concentration of African American voters and whose message at his kickoff suggested significant talk of race during the campaign. Analysis of the 2013 election shows votes breaking down across racial and ethnic lines.

However, the census figures show that despite only 47 percent of the city’s population being non-Hispanic white, that same population still maintains a majority (a slim 55 percent) of registered voters.

Read more at Commonwealth Magazine

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Baker Misses Key Problem With Electoral College

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If you’re a Massachusetts voter, your vote simply doesn’t matter.

That’s one take away from Electoral College analysis in the wake of the 2016 election, a system in which Mass. is a poster child of neglect on the campaign trail. Yet Gov. Baker is a self-described big fan of the college, arguing that if we used the popular vote, half of the states would be disenfranchised and receive no campaign attention.

He seems to miss that only half of the states being ignored would in fact be an improvement.

Read more at Commonwealth Magazine